Why Harvey stalled over Houston


Tropical storm Harvey was still making its mark on the U.S. southeast Wednesday, with ​flood, wind, storm surge and tornado warnings in place days after the storm first made landfall in Texas last week.

The deadly storm, which has displaced tens of thousands and destroyed more than 1,000 homes, is now expected to track northeast, becoming a tropical depression but still releasing torrents of rain as it moves in the direction of Kentucky.

GFX Harvey August 30

In a Facebook Live on Wednesday afternoon, CBC meteorologist Johanna Wagstaffe took viewer questions about the track of the storm and whether the system will affect Canada.

“At this point the models do not bring Harvey up into Canada,” she said. “It stalls out before then.”

Blocked in place

She also took questions about the science behind Harvey, including whether the record rainfall in the U.S. could be pinned on climate change.


“It is a complicated answer, but it’s one that meteorologists and storm forecasters have been thinking about a lot lately,” Wagstaffe said.

“Hurricanes are naturally occurring forces of nature. They’ve always been difficult to predict and they’ve always occurred. Harvey is not a direct result of climate change, but where climate change does play a role is how devastating it ended up making Harvey.”

Wagstaffe said Harvey dropped as much rain as it did in Texas because it stalled in place, blocked by a high-pressure system in the western U.S. (which has brought heat to Western Canada) and a low-pressure system to the east (which has brought stormy weather to southern Ontario).

“These two systems were blocked in place, not allowing Harvey to move northward, and recent studies show these blocking patterns are a direct result of a warming climate.

“The jet stream isn’t as strong, it meanders more, it gets stuck in place. That’s something we’re worried about when it comes to climate change, these stalled-out systems.”

Another connection to climate change, Wagstaffe said, is that a warmer atmosphere can generally hold more moisture than a cooler one.

To watch the complete Facebook Live, please click the video above.

STORM-HARVEY/

A rescue helicopter hovers in the background as an elderly woman and her poodle use an air mattress to float above flood waters from Tropical Storm Harvey while waiting to be rescued from Scarsdale Boulevard in Houston Sunday. (Adrees Latif/Reuters)



Source link

NO COMMENTS